000
AXPZ20 KNHC 051544
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE JUN 05 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 12N90W TO A 1010 MB 
LOW NEAR 09N96W TO 11N105W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 
AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N105W TO 09N114W TO 11N120W TO A 1009 MB LOW 
NEAR 08N124W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 
03N E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 98W. 

...DISCUSSION...

AT THE SURFACE...
A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA AT 34N140W. A WEAK 
GALE IS ALSO FURTHER E OFF THE COAST OF S CALIFORNIA. A COLD 
FRONT HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE NW W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 20 KT NE 
WINDS ARE W OF LINE FROM 30N116W TO 16N140W. OVER THE NEXT 24-48 
HOURS INCREASING WINDS AND NW SWELL WILL BE N OF 24N E OF 
130W.    

IN THE TROPICS...
A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 08N124W. WINDS ARE 20 KT WITH 
SEAS TO 8 FT WITHIN 120 NM OF THE NW SEMICIRCLE OF THIS LOW.  
EXPECT THE LOW TO MOVE W TO 08N131W IN 48 HOURS WITH ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LOW.  

ANOTHER 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 09N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 
98W. EXPECT THE LOW TO BE STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

ALOFT...
AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS OVER THE TROPICS FROM 03N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 127W HELPING TO PRODUCE ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION. 

FURTHER E IN THE TROPICS...UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SE OF AN 
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER N MEXICO HELPING TO PRODUCE WIDELY 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF CENTRAL AMERICA BASICALLY N 
OF 3N E OF 102W. 

$$
FORMOSA