000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150247
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN APR 15 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 02N101W TO 04N107W TO 04N132W TO 02N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W 
AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION...
DEEP LOW PRES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO ASSOCIATED IS CREATING A TIGHT
PRES GRADIENT OVER THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA. NW TO N WINDS AROUND 20 KT WILL 
PERSIST ALONG THE W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUN MORNING 
THEN DIMINISH SUN AFTERNOON. LARGE NW SWELL TO 14 FT GENERATED 
BY WINDS N OF THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 11-12 FT 
SUN...THEN 9-10 FT MON. COMBINED SEAS WILL BE 8 FT OR BELOW N OF 
20N BY TUESDAY.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ANCHORED BY 1029 MB HIGH NEAR 31N136W WILL CHANGE
VERY LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEAR
30N135W THROUGH TUE AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TO AROUND 1026 MB BY TUE.
AS A RESULT MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE THROUGH TUE. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE FOUND FROM 
07N TO 16N W OF 130W BUT THE REGION OF ENHANCED TRADES AND WIND 
WAVES S OF THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM 115W.

$$
MUNDELL