000
AXPZ20 KNHC 160330
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU DEC 16 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS FROM 08N83W TO 05N92W TO 
10N121W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N127W TO 09N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAK RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE WATERS N OF 15N AND W OF 115W. A 
THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN FURTHER TONIGHT AS A LOW PRES SYSTEM DRAGS 
A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA. A STRONG LOW PRES 
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA FRI. SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT AND SEAS 8-9 FT ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES IS ANALYZED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 10N126W. 
A 1436 UTC WINDSAT PASS SHOWED 20 KT NE WINDS N OF THE LOW AND 
15-20 KT SE WINDS S OF THE ITCZ. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE 
TO MOVING W OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LITTLE CHANGE.

WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE 
RELATIVELY QUIET THE NEXT FEW DAYS...INCLUDING FAVORED LOCATIONS 
FOR GAP WINDS.

GAP WINDS...
WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 KT OR 
LESS. WINDS IN THE GULF OF FONSECA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 20 KT 
AGAIN THU MORNING THEN DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT THU AFTERNOON. WINDS 
IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 20 KT THU MORNING 
DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON THEN PULSE TO 15-20 KT THU NIGHT AND 
FRI MORNING. N WINDS AROUND 20 KT S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA ARE 
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO AROUND 20 KT THU MORNING AND 
DIMINISH FURTHER TO AROUND 15-20 KT FRI MORNING.

$$
MUNDELL