000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191516
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON JUL 19 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1500 UTC.

...THE ITCZ...

AXIS FROM 13N87W TO 08N105W TO 12N120W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 89W AND 93W AND WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 13N116W. 

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED OVER 
THE FAR NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE 
IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE IN THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE N OF 
18N A BROAD MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED E OF ABOUT 135W 
INTO MEXICO WITH THE AXIS ORIENTED EAST-WEST ALONG 32N. OVER THE 
TROPICS BETWEEN 110W AND 140W EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE MODERATE 
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W AND MOSTLY LIGHT W OF 120W. OVER MOST OF 
THE AREA S OF ABOUT 20N S AND SW SWELLS ARE 8 TO 11 FT. IN THE 
AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W N WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 
KNOTS IN ABOUT 18 HOURS WITH SEAS 8 FT. AT THE SURFACE A 
TROUGH...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E...IS LOCATED FROM 
20N124W TO 15N128W.

E OF 110W...
MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED E OF 110W WITH 
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATING SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS. 
THESE EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.5N96.5W TO 17.5N104W. A 
NEARLY STATIONARY 1010 MB SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 
14.5N94.5W. IN THE AREA BETWEEN 93W AND 110W S AND SW SWELLS ARE 
8 TO 11 FT. 

$$
CAB