000 AXPZ20 KNHC 071548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON JUN 07 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVE... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W FROM 12N IN NICARAGUA SOUTHWARD...DRIFTING WESTWARD. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE ITCZ. ...ITCZ... 05N78W 12N103W 08N110W 09N123W 06N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 9N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W ...FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 96W AND 97W...FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 123W AND 125W. ...DISCUSSION... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 31N120W 25N124W 20N131W 17N136W. DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE SURROUNDS THIS TROUGH WITH NO APPARENT CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. A REMNANT CLOUD LINE/SHEAR AXIS AT THE SURFACE IS ALONG 25N119W 17N130W TO 18N140W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A MEXICO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N99W ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO 21N107W IN THE WATERS OFF THE MEXICO COAST. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N119W TO 26N124W AND BEYOND 32N138W. THE CURRENT MIAHSFEP2 INCLUDES 20 KT WINDS TO THE NORTH OF 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W. THE SEA HEIGHTS ARE 9 FT IN NW SWELL. SEA HEIGHTS TO THE NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W ARE REACHING 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 14N101W 12N104W 8N106W MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 11N129W 8N131W 5N132W MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANIES THIS TROUGH. A SURFACE RIDGE IS ALONG 17N112W 22N125W 23N133W BEYOND 25N140W. $$ MT