000
AXPZ20 KNHC 021514
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED JUN 02 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVE...
TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 02N86W TO 08N82.5W...THEN 
CONTINUING INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 
W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W. 

...ITCZ...
AXIS IS ALONG 06N77W TO 09N97W TO 09N112W TO 06N125W TO 06N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS E 
OF 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 
NM N OF AXIS AND 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 127W AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION...
N OF 20N...AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 29N134W. 
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW TEXAS ACROSS 
CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST S OF THE ANTICYCLONE TO 24N140W. 

IN THE DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS 
CENTERED NEAR 11N110W AS A RESULT OF HEATING ASSOCIATED WITH 
ENHANCED CONVECTION IN THE THE ITCZ BETWEEN 107W AND 116W. 
ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 13N128W. A 
50-70 KT SUBTROPICAL JET ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 19N140W AND 
EXTENDS NE-E AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE ANTICYCLONIC 
CIRCULATIONS TO CENTRAL MEXICO. 

A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N146W WITH SURFACE 
RIDGE EXTENDING ESE TO 21N111W. THE RIDGE HAS WEAKENED AS 
COMPARED TO THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AS A RESULT THERE IS ONLY A 
SMALL AREA OF NE 20 KT TRADES FROM 07N TO 15N W OF 130W AND ARE 
EXPECTED DROP BELOW 20 KT WITHIN 48 HOURS.

$$
AL