000 AXPZ20 KNHC 281015 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED APR 28 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0915 UTC. ...ITCZ... AXIS ALONG 11N863W TO 11N94W TO 05N105W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION S OF 10N E OF 105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 116W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO 24N110W MAINTAINS DRY AIR MASS TO ITS N. EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTEND SW INTO AREA TO 24N109W. MOISTURE SWATH ALOFT ADVECTS NE AHEAD OF TROUGH INTO GULF OF MEXICO. MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS W ACROSS TROPICAL E PAC ALONG 11N E OF 135W. AS RIDGE LIES OVER PERSISTENT SURFACE TROUGH NOW ALONG 86W...SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IS ENHANCED...BUT LITTLE ORGANIZATION CAN BE NOTED WITH IR SATELLITE IMAGES. LATE MORNING VISIBLE MIGHT SHOW SOME INTENSIFICATION AS MOIST WARM SW WINDS ARE INCREASING. ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE... COLD FRONT BECOMING DIFFUSE TONIGHT 32N126W TO 27N130W. NORTHERLY WINDS W OF FRONT VEER NE TONIGHT AND THU AS NW SWELLS SPREAD SE INTO BASIN AND MERGE WITH CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL IN DEEP TROPICS S OF 10N. PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS TONIGHT THROUGH FRI WITH STRONG N WINDS OVER MOST OF AREA N OF 18N LATE THU. SW STRONG WINDS OVER AREA S OF 09N E OF SURFACE TROUGH THU AND FRI. $$ WALLY BARNES