000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020915
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI APR 02 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS IS ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 3N105W 4N120W 2N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG COVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
AXIS FROM 85W-95W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SE ARIZONA/MEXICO BORDER 
ACROSS CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 22N125W 17N140W. AN UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE IS NW OF THE TROUGH. A 95-100 KT JET STREAM SE OF 
THE TROUGH IS ADVECTING ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND ITCZ 
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO. BROAD MID TO 
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 9N92W 
WITH RIDGE N ACROSS GUATEMALA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. MODERATE 
TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE IS E OF 105W WITH ONLY 
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ IN THIS AREA.

SURFACE HIGH PRES RIDGE COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 105W WITH 
20-25 KT TRADES FROM 7N-25N W OF 122W. BROKEN/OVERCAST 
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE WITHIN THE RIDGE N OF 15N W OF 110W. A 
SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 7N120W TO 2N121W. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 100 NM W OF TROUGH FROM 5N-7N.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO ELY 20 KT WINDS WILL DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT BY 
THIS AFTERNOON AS WESTERN CARIBBEAN TRADES WEAKEN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
DGS