000 AXPZ20 KNHC 240352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN JAN 24 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0315 UTC. ...ITCZ... AXIS ALONG 08N81W TO 05N89W TO 06N101W TO 03N124W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS E OF 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ...DISCUSSION... LARGE AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT PREVIOUSLY INFLUENCED WEATHER REGIME OVER W COAST HAS MOVED E WITH AXIS NOW ALONG 98W. BROAD RIDGE NOW ALONG 126W HAS REPLACED TROUGH AND BRINGS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE ON ITS W SIDE INTO THE SRN CALIFORNIA SCENARIO. STRONG SHORT WAVE PIVOTS AROUND UPSTREAM UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE N OF AREA ALONG 146W USHERING IN NEW SERIES OF COLD FRONTS INTO FORECAST WATERS...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY MORE TO THE N THAN LAST WEEK...POSSIBLY KEEPING GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 30N...ALTHOUGH NW SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE AT A REDUCED HEIGHT THAN BEFORE. NWW3 MODEL GUIDANCE CAPS NEW SWELL HEIGHTS AT 18-20 FT. ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE... HIGH PRES CENTER 1020 MB AT 30N125W WITH RIDGE BUILDING SW TO 22N140W ACROSS BASIN BLOCKING APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM FURTHER SRN INTRUSION. STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO REMAIN N OF 25N AND W OF 130W. HIGH PRES RIDGE ALSO PROMPTS FRESH TRADES FROM 05N-14N W OF 112W THROUGHOUT ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH BREAKERS HAVE BEEN IMPACTING W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND MEXICO ALL THROUGH LAST WEEK DUE TO LARGE LONG PERIOD NW SWELLS CROSSING ENTIRE BASIN. SWELL TRAINS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BUT NEVERTHELESS SEAS REMAIN IN DOUBLE DIGITS AS SERIES OF COLD FRONTS SKIRT NRN EDGES OF 30N. GAP WINDS... FRESH N WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS GULF OF MEXICO MON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ WALLY BARNES