000
AXPZ20 KNHC 291538
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT NOV 29 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...

THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS ALONG THE LINE...09N78W TO 
06N100W TO 05N115W TO 08N128W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 
06N105W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 105W...
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT COVERS THE AREA N OF ABOUT 28N E OF 140W 
INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE E 
AS A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE DISCUSSION AREA 
FROM THE NW. TO THE SOUTH A STRONG WESTERLY JET ALOFT ENTERS THE 
AREA AT 23N140W AND THEN EXTENDS THROUGH 22N125W TO BEYOND 
24N110W. WINDS WITH THE JET AXIS ARE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS. 
MOSTLY LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE WINDS AT THE MIDDLE AND 
UPPER LEVELS ARE LOCATED S OF ABOUT 15N TO THE EQUATOR. AT THE 
SURFACE A WEAK TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG 132W FROM 08N TO 12N. 
FROM 13N TO 22N W OF 125W NE WINDS ARE 20 KT WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL. ALSO N OF 25N E OF 122W N WINDS ARE TO 20 KT 
WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 
22N110W TO 10N120W TO 00N140W WINDS ARE LESS THAN 20 KT AND SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 25N NW 
WINDS ARE 20 KT AND SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

E OF 105W...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER NEARLY THE 
ENTIRE AREA E OF 105W AND WINDS ALOFT ARE PRIMARILY LIGHT. AT 
THE SURFACE A WEAK TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG 88W FROM 06N TO 10N. 

$$
CAB