000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090322
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN NOV 09 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...ITCZ...

THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ALONG THE LINE... 
07N77W TO 06N105W TO 09N130W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 08.5N126W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 12N132W.
 
...DISCUSSION...

MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG A LINE FROM 26N120W TO 
14N135W TO 12N140W. A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED 
NEAR 20.5N130W. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE 
THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN BEGIN TO BE ABSORBED BY WESTERLY FLOW AND 
WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST RAPIDLY TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA 
AFTER 36 HOURS. A PLUME OF UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND BROKEN TO 
OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS EXTENDS 600 NM EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS. 
THIS MOISTURE IS EMANATING FROM ITCZ CONVECTION MOSTLY WEST OF 
130W. OTHER THAN WITHIN ABOUT 200 NM OF THE CYCLONIC CENTER THE 
AREA WEST AND NORTH OF THE TROUGH IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE 
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS 
ARE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W.

EXCEPT FOR A LIMITED AREA NEAR THE CENTRAL AMERICA ISTHMUS THE 
AREA EAST OF THE TROUGH AND SOUTH OF THE ITCZ IS DRY AND CLOUD 
FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS IS 
SOUTH OF THE ITCZ FROM 85W TO 110W.

AT THE SURFACE WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. 
ELSEWHERE A BROAD TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT THE SURFACE.

$$
LL