000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061530
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU NOV 06 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1430 UTC.

...ITCZ...

THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ALONG THE LINE... 
08N77W TO 07N90W TO 06N105W TO 10N123W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 08N113W TO 09N117W. 

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 105W...
A WEAK MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED IN 
THE VICINITY OF 26N132W AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A TROUGH AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER TO NEAR 15N125W. 
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COVERS A LARGE AREA AHEAD 
OF THE TROUGH ALL THE WAY TO THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 15N TO 25N. 
SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS ARE MEASURING UP TO 50 KT IN THIS 
AREA. STRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT...TO 65 KT...ARE LOCATED W OF THE 
TROUGH AXIS TO BEYOND 140W FROM 12N TO 22N. GENERALLY LIGHT 
EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED IN THE TROPICS 
S OF ABOUT 10N TO THE EQUATOR. AT THE SURFACE A 40 KT SHIP 
REPORT WAS LOCATED OVER THE FAR N GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND A GALE 
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED N OF 27N. THE REMNANTS OF POLO ARE 
ANALYZED AS A 1012 MB LOW AND LOCATED NEAR 10N125W...MOVING W 10 
KT. 

E OF 105W...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT OVER THE E 
PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS LOCATED S 
OF 10N TO THE EQUATOR. 

$$
CAB