000 AXPZ20 KNHC 052115 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED NOV 05 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. ...ITCZ... THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ALONG THE LINE... 09N84W TO 07N90W TO 07N105W TO 08N130W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W AND ALSO FROM 101W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ AXIS WEST OF 129W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVELS... MIDDLE AND UPPER TROUGH IS NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 125W. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND BEYOND THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK MIDDLE LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE LEFT BEHIND AND CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS. A MAINLY UPPER TROUGH IS ALONG 128W FROM 16N TO 25N IS MOVING EAST ABOUT 10 KT. THIS FEATURE WILL BE REINFORCED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND IN THREE DAYS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA FROM 120W TO 138W NORTH OF 17N. THE ONLY AREA OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W WHERE BROKEN UPPER CLOUDS ARE OBSERVED. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH IS ALONG THE LINE FROM 21N114W TO 10N122W. AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 14.5N117W IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. THIS FEATURE HAS ALSO DISRUPTED THE CONVECTION THAT HAD BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH POLO. REMAINING CONVECTION IS EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR 10N121W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE POINT 09.5N119.5W. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ THE AREA EAST OF 110W IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. OTHERWISE BROAD RIDGE IS OVER THE AREA IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS. SURFACE... MODERATE RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR THE REMNANTS OF POLO A BROAD TROUGH IS ANALYZED. $$ LL