000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050326
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED NOV 05 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...ITCZ...
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG THE 
LINE...06N77W TO 07N105W TO 08N115W TO 07N125W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE 
AXIS FROM 128W TO 133W.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO CENTERED AT 09.6N 120.0W OR ABOUT 990 
NM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 0300 UTC MOVING 
W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. POLO HAS MOVED WELL 
SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION AND IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 
09N116W WHICH IS WELL EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. POLO WILL 
TRACK WEST AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION 
SEE LATEST NHC PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCPEP3/WTPZ33 KNHC AND FULL FORECAST 
/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC. 

...DISCUSSION...
MIDDLE AND UPPER TROUGH IS NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 130W. THIN 
BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE ARE NORTH OF 
30N. SOUTH OF 30N TO 23N THE ATMOSPHERE IS DRY IN THE MIDDLE AND 
UPPER LEVELS WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS OVER 
THE PACIFIC OCEAN IN THE LOWER LEVELS. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO 
MOVE EAST OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND BEYOND IN 48 HOURS. 

A SHORTWAVE MAINLY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 131W FROM 17N TO 
24N. AN AREA OF BROKEN MAINLY UPPER CLOUDS EXTENDS WITHIN 480 NM 
EAST OF THE SHORTWAVE. 

MODERATE SURFACE RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE 
EXCEPT FOR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE A BROAD TROUGH IS ANALYZED OVER 
THE AREA.

$$
LL