000 AXPZ20 KNHC 061532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED AUG 06 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1515 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... A 1006 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N109W AND IS MOVING WNW ABOUT 10 KT. A TROPICAL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS LOCATED ALONG 109W FROM 05N TO 18N. THE LOW IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. STRONG CONVECTION IS MOSTLY LOCATED W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 95W N OF 05N ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WAVE IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF CONVECTION ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE...ONE FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 97W AND THE OTHER FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W AND 99W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 129W FROM 05N TO 16N AND IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. THE WAVE IS WEAK AND MINIMAL CONVECTION/ ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS ALONG 09N83W TO 09N100W TO 09N120N TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF 04N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF 12.5N134.5W. ...DISCUSSION... W OF 105W... A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS ITS AXIS ALONG 128W N OF 28N...MOVING E ABOUT 15 KT. CYCLONIC FLOW IS LOCATED UP TO 10 DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS. FURTHER S AND E AN ELONGATED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 23N113W. THIS FEATURE IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER THE DEEP TROPICS S OF 12N EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED OVER THE ENTIRE AREA W OF 105W WITH SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS INDICATING SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 KT FROM 09N TO 12N AND ABOUT 15 TO 20 KT HIGHER FURTHER S. AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 110W WITH THE RIDGE AXIS LOCATED THROUGH 32N138W TO 21N112W. E OF 105W... THE FLOW ALOFT OVER THE E PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS MOSTLY EASTERLY. AT THE SURFACE FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS ARE IN THE 20 TO 25 KT RANGE. $$ CAB