000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240400
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 24 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE CENTERED NEAR 15.0N 111.3W...OR ABOUT 
440 NM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 10 
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION WITH GENEVIEVE HAS WEAKENED 
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS...WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG STILL FOUND WITHIN 50 NM OF THE CENTER BUT ONLY ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FOUND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 170 NM.


...TROPICAL WAVES... 

TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS WESTERN PANAMA NEAR 83W N OF 04N MOVING W 
15 KT. TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION ARE NOTED WITH THE WAVE.  THE 
NORTHERN-MOST AREA IS GENERALLY WITHIN 50 NM OF THE WESTERN 
COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE WAVE W TO GUATEMALA.  THE 
SECOND IS REGION OF NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 03N-05N BETWEEN 85W-88W.
 
  
...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS 05N77W TO 07N92W TO 11N102W TO 12N120W TO 08N140W.  
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 06N FROM 83W 
TO 92W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM S OF THE ITCZ 
FROM 113W TO 126W.


...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS 
STATES EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS W OVER THE SOUTHERN CA TO N OF THE 
REMNANT LOW FROM T.D. FAUSTO.  AS A RESULT...THE 1009 MB REMNANT 
LOW FROM FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MAINLY W PATH S OF 
THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE NEXT DAY.  BY TOMORROW...A MID LATITUDE 
TROUGH SHOULD BEGIN TO EAT AWAY AT THE W EDGE OF THIS RIDGE AND 
ALLOW THE REMNANTS OF FAUSTO TO TAKE A SLIGHTLY MORE N TURN. 
THIS SAME RIDGE IS INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD PROGRESS 
FOR TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE AS WELL.  

ELSEWHERE...SUBSIDENCE PREVENTS ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION W OF 
122W AND N OF 13N.  DOMINANT CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY FLOW 
FOUND S OF 06N AND NE TO E TRADE WIND FLOW N OF 06N W OF 130W. 

$$
SCHAUER CLARK