000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020335
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED JUL 02 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM BORIS IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N125.9W AT 02/0300 UTC 
OR 1010 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MOVING WNW 
AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE LATEST 
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. BORIS IS FORECAST 
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF COOLING 
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E IS CENTERED NEAR 15.9N107.0W AT 
02/0300 UTC OR 450 NM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA 
MOVING NW AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. THE 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM 
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ALONG 90W N OF 6N INTO CENTRAL AMERICA 
IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED 
ALONG THE HONDURAS COAST. 

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG AXIS 09N84W TO 13N103W TO 11N115W TO 
12N124W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF 05N BETWEEN 83W AND 85W AND WITHIN A 
60 NM RADIUS OF 09N98W.
 
...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...
A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS ITS AXIS ALONG 137W N OF 25N 
WITH CYCLONIC FLOW LOCATED N OF 25N W OF 128W. AN ASSOCIATED 
COLD FRONT IS LOCATED THROUGH 32N134W TO BEYOND 27N140W. SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT AND SEAS TO 8 FT ARE LOCATED N OF 28N E OF THE 
FRONT TO 132W. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY E OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 
OF DAYS AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. THE REMNANTS OF CRISTINA ARE 
LOCATED NEAR 14N136W WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATING ONLY A 
SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS. A DEVELOPING MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 24N115W...MOVING NW ABOUT 
10 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE N OF 20N 
BETWEEN 112W TO WELL BEYOND 140W. MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT 
COVER THE DEEP TROPICS S OF ABOUT 12N.

E OF 110W...
OVER THE E PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT 
COVER MOST OF THE AREA E OF 110W WITH SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT 
WINDS INDICATING SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 KT. A SURFACE LOW IS 
FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR 10N96W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
CAB