000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261612
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU JUN 26 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1007 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 11N105W AND MOVING WNW ABOUT 10 
KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED 
WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 16N102W TO 09N109W LINE. WINDS 
ARE 20 TO 25 KT FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 108W WITH SEAS 
TO 9 FT. THE LOW IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY DEVELOP 
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOUR.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 07N IS MOVING W ABOUT 15 KT. MOST 
OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER NORTHERN COSTA RICA AND OVER 
SOUTHERN 
NICARAGUA.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W FROM 05N TO 12N IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 
KT. THE WAVE IS WEAK WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. 

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED FROM 06N77W TO 05N90W TO 10N104W TO 
08N113W TO 11N120W TO 08N130W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 10N120W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 08N113W TO 09N117W LINE AND WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A 10N124W TO 09N129W LINE.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 100W...
A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA N OF ABOUT 18N E OF 
128W INTO NW MEXICO WITH THE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 124W. WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
FEATURE. FURTHER UPSTREAM BROAD RIDGING ALOFT COVERS THE AREA N 
OF 18N W OF 128W WITH SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS INDICATING 
WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KT.  

E OF 100W...
OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NE WINDS ALOFT 
COVER MOST OF THE AREA E OF 100W WITH SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT 
WINDS INDICATING SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 KT. AT THE SURFACE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO WINDS ARE NE TO 20 KT AND THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST 
OF THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
CAB