000
AXPZ20 KNHC 241501
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE JUN 24 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 7N ALONG 96W MOVING W 10 KT. ASSOCIATED 
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE S END OF THE WAVE NEAR THE ITCZ 
FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 89W-99W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 13N-5N ALONG 119W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED 
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE S OF 10N.

...ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 7N105W 
8N115W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 90W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS AND 150 NM S OF AXIS FROM 
100W-113W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS FROM 128W-133W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N125W TO 20N117W TO 
12N119W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE ALONG WITH RATHER STABLE CONDITIONS 
ARE NOTED N OF 15N W OF 120W...EXCEPT FOR SOME HIGH LEVEL 
MOISTURE FROM 20N-25N W OF 130W. THIS MOISTURE ORIGINATES FROM 
THE DEEP CENTRAL TROPICAL PACIFIC ITCZ. MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING 
IS SW OF THE TROUGH...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION NEAR 11N140W. 
 
MID/UPPER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF 
MEXICO NEAR 16N105W. A RIDGE EXTENDS N FROM THE ANTICYCLONE
ACROSS NW MEXICO TO SE ARIZONA. ANOTHER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE 
ANTICYCLONE SW TO 12N115W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS 
OCCURRING TO THE SW OF THE ANTICYCLONE IS AIDING CONVECTIVE 
ACTIVITY ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 100W-115W. THE TAIL END OF A 
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO 
SSW TO ACROSS SE MEXICO TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  UPPER LEVEL 
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER EL SALVADOR.

SURFACE RIDGE COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 100W. OVERCAST 
STRATUS CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA 
N OF 23N.

$$
DGS