000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150306
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN JUN 15 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0200 UTC.

...ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE (ITCZ) IS CENTERED ALONG 07N77W 
09N85W 08N98W 05N111W 07N130W 06N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED 
MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND ALONG 120 NM ALONG THE 
COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 78W TO 86W. CLUSTERS OF 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 04N TO 
10N BETWEEN 88W AND 97W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION ARE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 102W TO 107W. 

...DISCUSSION...
E OF 110W...
THE EASTERLY WINDS THAT WHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN HAVE 
DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT AND THUS THE GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO REGION HAVE ALSO DIMINISHED TO BELOW 20 KT. UPPER RIDGE 
ANCHORED OVER COSTA RICA WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 95W 
PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO ENHANCE THE CONVECTION WITHIN THE 
ITCZ AND ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 11N93W TO 
04N95W. AN UPPER HIGH IS OVER N/CENTRAL WITH THE RIDGE EXTENDING 
S INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION TO NEAR 13N108W PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE 
ALOFT TO ENHANCE THE CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ AND ALONG THE 
SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 11N102W TO 04N105W. 

W OF 110W...
AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED SW OF THE AREA COVERS THE AREA S OF 12N 
W OF 120W PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT TO ENHANCE THE CLOUDS AND 
POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 120W AND 
135W. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1034 MB HIGH NW OF THE 
REGION NEAR 43N144W WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 21N121W. 

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE REGION TO  
S OF THE EQUATOR ALSO PRODUCING LARGE SWELLS. 
 
$$
WALLACE