000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141008
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT JUN 14 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N95W 
4N110W 7N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 03N-10N BETWEEN 91W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 
129W-132W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AXIS FROM 32N137W TO 20N128W S TO 9N121W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SW OF THE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT 
FLOW BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS ENHANCING ITCZ CONVECTION 
BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. OTHERWISE MOSTLY DRY AIR ALOFT N OF 15N W 
OF 110W. AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW IS OFF THE W COAST OF BAJA NEAR 
25N116W MOVING NW ALONG THE BAJA COAST. MID/UPPER LEVEL 
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS CENTERED NEAR
29N108W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SE OF THE ANTICYCLONE 
EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO TO THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN 
COLOMBIA ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN INTO NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. 
DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROUGH IS ENHANCING 
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N134W 14N103W. BROKEN/OVERCAST 
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 120W.

$$
DGS