000
AXPZ20 KNHC 092151
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JUN 09 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2115 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 W OF THE WAVE FROM 13N TO 16N.
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N94W.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N94W 8N105W 7N112W 9N122W 
6N134W TO 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM
S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-99W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE W PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IS 
CENTERED NEAR 23N139W. TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW SE TO 19N130W 
TO 5N127W TO 11N. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AIR AT 
THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE COVERS THE AREA W OF 
110W. THE SUBSIDENCE IS SUPPRESSING ITCZ CONVECTION W OF 110W.  
AN UPPER RIDGE OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST NEAR 25N118W. UPPER 
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHINESS LOCATED OFF THE MEXICAN COAST. A LOW
PRES CENTER OF 1007 MB MOVING W ABOUT 12 KT IS ANALYZED JUST
SW OF ACAPULCO NEAR 16N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 94W-98W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS PRESENT FROM 14N-17N 
BETWEEN 98W-103W.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRES OF 1032 MB IS NW OF THE AREA NEAR 
37N146W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SE FROM THE HIGH THROUGH 32N134W
TO 26N130W TO 23N121W. HIGH PRES COVERS THE AREA N OF 17N W OF 
121W. A LARGE AREA OF MOSTLY OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS COVERS THE AREA N OF 17N W OF 110W.

$$
AGUIRRE