000 AXPZ20 KNHC 060338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI JUN 06 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0315 UTC. ...ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE (ITCZ) IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N91W 10N105W 8N120W 6N128W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W- 97W...AND 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-106W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE ITCZ AXIS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6N84W TO 6N87W. ...DISCUSSION... A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES SSW TO N CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 27N. TO THE WNW OF THE TROUGH...AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NW OF THE AREA NEAR 33N1405 EXTENDS A RIDGE SEWD THROUGH 32N133W TO 29N128W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WITHIN 390 NM SW OF THE RIDGE IS SLOWLY SPREADING WWD. A NEARLY STATIONARY WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N132W SEWD TO 12N125W TO 5N118W. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE W OF THE AREA COVERS THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 14N AND W OF 125W. STRONG WLY WINDS ARE EVIDENT ON SATELLITE- DERIVED WINDS FROM 3N TO 14N W OF 130W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 21N112W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO...AND WELL NE OF THE AREA. ANOTHER RIDGE EXTENDS WNW FROM THE ANTICYCLONE TO NEAR 29N124W. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS OBSERVED NEAR 13N91W ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WITH ITS ENVELOPE OF ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DOMINATING THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE TROPICS GENERALLY E OF ABOUT 105W. ASSOCIATED UPPER DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT CONVECTION FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 90W-98W. RESULTANT UPPER LEVEL DEBRIS MOISTURE IS SPREADING SSW FROM THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 04N. ELSEWHERE...MODERATE SUBSIDENCE PREVAILING IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS IS CONTINUING TO RESULT IN ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS PRIMARILY FROM 3N TO 8N W OF 127W. AT THE SURFACE...BROAD LOW PRES REMAINS OVER MUCH OF MEXICO AND COVERS THE ERN PACIFIC WATERS TO THE N OF 13N AND E OF 114W. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT LOW PRES MAY FORM WITHIN THIS AREA OF LOW PRES TO THE S OR SE OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SOMETIME OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N93W. STATIONARY HIGH PRES NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N143W 1030 MB HAS AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 32N134W AND 22N124W. HIGH PRES COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 121W. A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT EXISTING BETWEEN THE HIGH AND LOW PRES OVER THE WRN UNITED STATES AND NRN MEXICO CONTINUES TO CREATE NW WINDS OF 20-25 KT OVER THE FAR NE PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 117W-126W WITH SEAS IN THE 9-13 FT RANGE. HIGHER WIND SPEEDS REACHING TO GALE CONTINUE JUST N OF THIS PART OF THIS AREA. SLY WINDS UP TO 20 KT ARE NOTED OVER THE SRN WATERS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 90W-107W. $$ AGUIRRE