000 AXPZ20 KNHC 140328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED MAY 14 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0300 UTC. ...ITCZ... 07N77W 07N87W 09N95W 11N102W 7N108W 4N115W 7N129W 7N134W 5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 07N TO 08N BETWEEN 81W AND 82W EVEN IN THE PANAMA COASTAL PLAINS...AND FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 05N TO 06N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W...FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W...FROM 02N TO 04N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W...FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W...AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 127W AND 128W. ...DISCUSSION... A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 33N111W TO 25118W AND TO 21N116W. A SHEAR AXIS CONTINUES WESTWARD FROM 21N116W TO 24N135W. A CUT-OFF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 21N147W...ABOUT 480 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HAWAII. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE 25N118W 21N116W TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA BEYOND NORTHERN MEXICO. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 24N127W 15N130W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS AREA NORTH OF 30N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W...WITH AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 36N132W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 110W. SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 104W/105W FROM 12N TO 16N. AN EARLIER AREA OF STRONG PRECIPITATION WAS ALONG THE NORTHERN END OF THE TROUGH. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ARE AROUND THIS TROUGH FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. A SEPARATE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 104W/105W FROM 04N TO 11N. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 102W AND 103W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 130W/131W FROM 5N TO 10N. NO ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANIES THIS TROUGH. $$ MT