000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061455
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN APR 06 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY 
THROUGH 1445 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG AXIS 6N77W 4N84W 6N94W 5N106W 2N120W 
4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED 
WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 5N100W. 

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 105W...
A LARGE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED W OF 
THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 26N146W AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A 
LARGE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED N OF 12N W 
OF ABOUT 128W. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS AREA ARE LOCATED N OF 
23N W OF 135W WITH SPEEDS IN THE 50 TO 60 KNOT RANGE. THE FLOW 
ALOFT FURTHER DOWNSTREAM IS WESTERLY AND COVERS THE AREA N OF 
ABOUT 18N E OF 128W INTO MEXICO AND THE SW UNITED STATES. WIND 
SPEEDS IN THIS AREA ARE 60 TO 70 KNOTS W OF NORTHERN BAJA 
CALIFORNIA AND DECREASE TO ABOUT 30 KNOTS ALONG 18N. BROAD 
RIDGING ALOFT COVERS THE TROPICS WITH THE AXIS LOCATED ROUGHLY 
ALONG 15N. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE IN 
THIS AREA. AT THE SURFACE MODERATE TRADE WINDS ARE LOCATED FROM 
8N TO 22N W OF 120W AND WINDS ARE SE 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS TO 
10 FEET N OF 22N W OF 135W. WINDS ARE NW TO N 20 KNOTS OFF THE 
BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST.  

E OF 105W...
LIGHT WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED IN THIS AREA WITH NORTHERLY WINDS 
LOCATED N OF 8N W OF 90W AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ELSEWHERE. 
SUBSIDENCE IS MOSTLY STRONG OVER THIS REGION. AT THE SURFACE 
WINDS ARE LIGHT AND NO GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OR GULF OF PAPAGAYO 
EVENTS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
   
$$
CAB