000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150415
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI FEB 15 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG 5N77W 3N89W 11N132W 8N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W TO 129W. 

...DISCUSSION
STRONG UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTEX AT 24N141W HAS WEAK TROUGH TO 
32N131W.  JTST 110 KT BRINGS SWATH OF MOISTURE INTO E PAC N OF 
20N W OF 115W.  S OF 20N...ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT W OF 115W.  

LARGE AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DRIVEN BY STRONG SHORTWAVE 
MOVING RAPIDLY SE DOWN ALONG COAST OF CALIFORNIA WITH DEVELOPING 
SURFACE LOW PRES CENTER OVER SAN DIEGO BRING IN STRONG N WINDS 
ALONG W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND LARGE SWELLS...UP TO 15 FT. 
E PAC RIDGE NW OF AREA EXTENDS OVER REGION ENHANCING SWELLS.  
CLIMATOLOGICAL NE TRADES FROM 10N-20N W OF 120W.  

GULF OF PAPAGAYO WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 KT FRI AS HIGH PRES 
BUILDS OVER NW CARIBBEAN...BUT WILL START DIMINISHING WITHIN 48 
HRS. 

$$
WALLY BARNES