000 AXPZ20 KNHC 102121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN FEB 10 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG THE LINE...5N77W 6N86W 2N97W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 118W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVELS... DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS OVER THE AREA NORTH OF A LINE 32N117W 20N115W 20N110W 25N98W. ASSOCIATED WEATHER IS OVER MEXICO WITH MULTI LEVEL OVERCAST CLOUDS AND SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM 22N TO 28N E OF 107W. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST AND WILL PASS EAST OF THE AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE UPPER PORTION OF THIS TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTH TO THE ITCZ AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH SOME ENHANCE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE ITCZ SECTION. ANOTHER DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE AREA NORTHWEST OF A LINE 32N133W 23N140W. THIS FEATURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA THROUGH 48 HOURS AS A PORTION OF THE TROUGH MOVES NORTHEAST THE TROUGH IS REINFORCED FROM THE WEST. THE RESULT WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH 48 HOURS. MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SOME EMBEDDED RAIN IS FROM 26N TO 30.5N FROM 129W TO 139W. THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 28N138W. THE AREA NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO 22N WEST OF 130W IS COVERED BY MULTI LEVEL OVERCAST CLOUDS. THE MOISTURE IS FROM ITCZ CONVECTION WEST OF THE AREA AND DIVERGENT ANTICYCLONIC UPPER FLOW OVER THIS REGION. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA IS COVERED BY BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SURFACE... WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF A LINE 32N120W 15N105W. REMAINDER OF THE AREA IS ANALYZED AS A BROAD TROUGH. GULF OF PAPAGAYO GAP WINDS OF 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS THEN DECREASE TO 20 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. SIMILARLY GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WINDS SHOULD INCREASE FROM 20 KNOTS TODAY TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS THEN WEAKEN TO 20 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. $$ LL