000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100325
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN FEB 10 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG THE LINE..3N78W 5N105W 8N115W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE AREA FROM 7N TO 10N 
W OF 129W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVELS...
WELL MARKED DEEP LAYER TROUGH IS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE 
32N122W 25N123W 21N120W 21N115W 25N105W. THE TROUGH IS MOVING 
EAST AND WILL BE OVER MEXICO IN 18 HOURS. AN AREA OF MULTI LEVEL 
CLOUDS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED SHOWERS IS APPROACHING CENTRAL MEXICO 
COAST AND IS OVER THE SOUTH PART OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. 
THE REMAINDER OF THE TROUGH IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE 
AND UPPER LEVELS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTH 
TO THE ITCZ FROM 100W TO 115W. THIS PORTION OF THE TROUGH IS 
ENHANCING SOME CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ IN THIS AREA...WHICH HAS 
WEAKENED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.

THE REMINDER OF THE UPPER LEVELS IS COVERED BY BROAD 
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW.  AN AREA OF UPPER MOISTURE AND MULTI LEVEL 
CLOUDS IS NORTH OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 128W.

SURFACE...
WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 115W. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA IS ANALYZED AS BROAD TROUGH.

WEAK GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION OF 20 KNOTS WILL 
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH AT LEAST 48 HOURS. 

GAP WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BEGIN IN THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC REGION IN 12 HOURS WINDS WILL REACH TO 30 KNOTS IN 
30 HOURS THEN DIMINISH IN 48 HOURS.
 
$$
LL