000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070356
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU FEB 07 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0315 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 4N77W 4N115W 7N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION NOTED.

...DISCUSSION...
A DEEP LAYERED ANTICYCLONE CENTERED JUST N OF AREA IS EXPECTED 
TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT E OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE ASSOCIATED 
SURFACE RIDGE LIES ALONG 32N132W 13N100W. AS THE UPPER RIDGE TO 
THE N WEAKENS THE EASTERLY TRADES S OF THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL 
DIMINISH TO 20 KT THU WITH THE PERSISTENT NW AND NE SWELL 
SUBSIDING THEREAFTER.

BRISK 20 KT N WINDS IN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHOULD DIMINISH TO 
LESS THAN 20 KT SAT.

NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD SURGE THROUGH THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC 
LATER TONIGHT AT 20 TO 25 KT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS GRADIENT 
SHOULD RELAX THU EVENING BUT INCREASE AGAIN FRI INTO SAT.

EASTERLY TRADES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN EXPECTED TO SURGE AT 20 TO 
25 KT INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO FRI INTO SAT.

$$
NELSON