000
AXPZ20 KNHC 192152
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT JAN 19 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N100W 6N115W 10N126W 7N140W 
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...
W OF 100W...
AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 29N137W. A LARGE AREA 
OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT IS LOCATED 12-15 DEGREES S OF A LINE FROM 
THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 22N107W TO 20N120W TO 19N140W. SATELLITE 
CLOUD DRIFT WINDS INDICATE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE FROM 15N-19N W OF 
120W WITH SPEEDS 70-80 KNOTS. AT THE SURFACE NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KNOTS AND SEAS TO 9 FT ARE LOCATED FROM 11N TO 22N W OF 115W. 

E OF 100W...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER THE DEEP 
TROPICS E OF 100W. AT THE SURFACE STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST 
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IN 12-24 HOURS AND NE WINDS 20-25 KT 
ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO IN 36-48 HOURS. 

$$
MUNDELL