000
AXPZ20 KNHC 191547
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT JAN 19 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N95W 6N115W 10N131W 7N140W. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 100W...
A WEAK ELONGATED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS 
CENTERED OVER THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IN THE VICINITY 
OF 29N137W...NEARLY STATIONARY. A LARGE AREA OF WESTERLY WINDS 
ALOFT IS LOCATED 12 TO 15 DEGREES S OF A LINE FROM THE W COAST 
OF MEXICO NEAR 22N107W TO 20N120W TO 19N140W. SATELLITE CLOUD 
DRIFT WINDS INDICATE THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM ABOUT 15N TO 19N W 
OF 120W WITH SPEEDS MEASURING 70 TO 80 KNOTS. AT THE SURFACE NE 
TO E WINDS TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS TO 9 FT ARE LOCATED FROM 11N TO 
22N W OF 115W. 

E OF 100W...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER THE DEEP 
TROPICS E OF 100W. AT THE SURFACE STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST 
OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IN 24 HOURS AND NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO IN 48 HOURS. 

$$
CAB