000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020348
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED JAN 02 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS ALONG 5N77W 6N100W 8N115W 
8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N118W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 105W...
A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OFF OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 27N118W...MOVING NE ABOUT 15 KNOTS. A 
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS S OF THE CIRCULATION TO 20N114W AND CYCLONIC 
FLOW IS NOTED WITHIN 8 TO 9 DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS. 
FURTHER DOWNSTREAM A RIDGE ALOFT IS LOCATED OVER NW MEXICO. THE 
FLOW ALOFT IS DIVERGENT W OF 125W WITH SOUTHWESTERLIES LOCATED 
IN THE AREA N OF 25N AND NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS S OF 
25N. A JET ENTERS THE AREA AT 26N140W AND CONTINUES THROUGH 
28N135W TO BEYOND 32N130W. SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS ARE IN 
THE 70 TO 80 KNOT RANGE ALONG THE JET AXIS. AT THE SURFACE NE 
TRADE WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AREA FROM 8N TO 20N W OF 
120W...CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE. A COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED 
THE FAR NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N138W THROUGH 
30N140W WITH SW WINDS TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS TO 8 FT AHEAD OF THE 
FRONT AND NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT BEHIND THE FRONT.

E OF 105W...
THE FLOW ALOFT IS MOSTLY SOUTHERLY ACROSS THE TROPICAL EAST 
PACIFIC. AT THE SURFACE A STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT OVER THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. A SHIP REPORTED NE WINDS OF 45 KNOTS NEAR 
14N96W AT 0000 UTC. 

$$
CAB