000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281619
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 28 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1500 UTC.
 
...ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...7N77W 9N95W 13N114W 11N123W 
8N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N
TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 121W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 127W AND 
128W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 130W AND 131W...AND FROM 7N TO 8N 
BETWEEN 135W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED 
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 7N EAST OF 90W...FROM 7N TO 8N 
BETWEEN 82W AND 84W...AND FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 108W.

...DISCUSSION...
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 27N122W.
CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 17N TO 34N BETWEEN 115W AND 
135W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 20N TO 35N BETWEEN 115W
AND 127W ARE CIRCULATING AROUND THIS CENTER. EVEN LOW TO MIDDLE 
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MOVING CYCLONICALLY AROUND THIS CENTER ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM...FROM 20N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 120W
AND 140W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS WEST OF THE AREA...
FROM 21N143W BEYOND 32N142W.

BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS FROM 4N TO 17N BETWEEN
104W AND 140W. 

SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 22N113W 17N118W 11N122W. SCATTERED STRONG 
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W... 
FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W...AND FROM 18N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 115W.

THE GALE-FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAVE SUBSIDED. 
THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FOR NORTH TO NORTHEAST 
WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 KT...AND FOR NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 
20 TO 25 KT AT 48 HOURS.

WIND SPEEDS IN THE AREA FROM 9N TO 12N EAST OF 92W INCLUDING
THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO ARE FORECAST TO BE 20 TO 25 KT DURING THE 
NEXT 48 HOURS. THE SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE 8 FT.
  
$$
MT