000 AXPZ20 KNHC 111606 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN NOV 11 2007 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1500 UTC. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N82W 6N90W 7N100W 10N110W 10N120W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ...DISCUSSION... E OF 110W... A WEAK UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN TO SE MEXICO THIS MORNING...THEN NE TO THE EXTREME NW GULF OF MEXICO AND TO E TEXAS. ASSOCIATED MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE AREA N OF 11N. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER CENTRAL MEXICO FROM 22N100W TO 16N103W TO 12N104W. SLIGHT DIFFLUENCE IS NOTED E OF THE TROUGH TO 92W FROM 9N-14N. A WEAK MID/UPPER INVERTED TROUGH MOVING W IS ALONG 8N96W TO 5N97W. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 9N101W. MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDS ALONG 110W S OF 20N. W OF 110W... A SHARP UPPER TROUGH IS BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 30N117W SW TO 18N133W WITH A 70 KT SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM 14N140W NE INTO FAR NW MEXICO. A NARROW SWATH OF MODERATE SUBSIDENCE LIES WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS BUT INCREASED HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IS LOCATED TO THE W WHERE AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS HAS BUILT FROM 25N140W TO 30N130W. S OF 18N...BROAD S/SW UPPER LEVEL FLOW DOMINATES THE REGION WITH VERY LITTLE DIVERGENCE TO ENHANCE DEEP TROPICAL CONVECTION. HOWEVER...A SMALL UPPER LEVEL COL REGION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-13N BETWEEN 110W-118W AND IS ENHANCING AN AREA OF CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ IN THAT AREA. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N124W 30N133W...THEN NW AS A STATIONARY FRONT TO 32N140W. HIGH PRES RIDGING EXTENDS THROUGH 32N140W 26N124W TO 24N117W. $$ AGUIRRE