000
AXPZ20 KNHC 110246
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN NOV 11 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0200 UTC.

...ITCZ...
8N83W 6N90W 8N106W 9N113W 7N128W 9N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 
9N TO 10N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED 
MODERATE SHOWERS/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 114W AND 118W...AND FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W...
AND FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 15 TO 30 NM
ON EITHER SIDE OF 8N127W 8N134W 9N137W 9N140W.

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA
TO BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 28N115W...TO A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N122W TO 18N129W AND BEYOND
16N140W. AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WITH 70 KT OF WIND HAS BEEN 
PASSING THROUGH 15N140W NORTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 27N140W TO 28N128W BEYOND 
32N122W.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA 
INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 12N90W TO 15N94W...AND THEN 
THE RIDGE EVENTUALLY TURNS NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN COASTAL MEXICO.

NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS TO 9 FT 
ARE FORECAST FOR THE AREA NORTH OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE 
FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 9N TO 12N EAST OF 
89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WILL CONTINUE TO BE
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 20 KT AND SEAS TO 8 FT FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THE WIND SPEEDS WILL WEAKEN TO LESS THAN 20 KT
AND THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY 48 HOURS.

$$
MT