000
AXPZ20 KNHC 102148
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT NOV 10 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2030 UTC.

...ITCZ...
9N83W 7N90W 8N113W 7N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS
TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 100W
AND 107W...FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W...AND FROM
9N TO 10N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS 
WITHIN 120 TO 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 5N77W 7N90W.

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 
TO 28N117W TO 22N123W 17N130W BEYOND 15N140W. AN UPPER LEVEL JET 
STREAM REACHES 70 KT FROM 14N140W NORTHEASTWARD INTO 
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 26N140W TO 28N130W BEYOND 
32N124W.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA 
INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 11N88W TO 14N99W...AND THEN
THE RIDGE EVENTUALLY TURNS NORTHWARD ACROSS INTERIOR MEXICO.

WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 KT ARE FORECAST FOR TWO AREAS.  
ONE AREA IS NORTH OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE SECOND AREA
IS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND WINDS WEAKENING BY
48 HOURS.

$$
MT