000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040938
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN NOV 04 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N90W 7N103W 11N113W 8N120W 
10N135W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
LOCATED WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 12N114W 8N120.5W LINE AND 
WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N88.5W. 

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 120W...
A WELL-DEFINED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS 
CENTERED JUST N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 33N124W...MOVING 
SLOWLY W. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE CIRCULATION TO NEAR 
20N135W. SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THE E SIDE OF THE TROUGH ARE 
ESTIMATED IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT RANGE. A STRONG WESTERLY JET 
ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 21N140W AND THEN DIVES SE TO 16N135W TO 
10N132W. 

E OF 120W...
A BROAD RIDGE AXIS ALOFT IS LOCATED ALONG 18N E OF 120W WITH 
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDING NORTHWARD INTO MEXICO AND S TO ABOUT 
10N. EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE LOCATED FROM THE CENTRAL AMERICA 
AND COLOMBIAN COASTLINE WESTWARD TO ABOUT 95W. AT THE SURFACE 
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FOR 
ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
CAB