000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030948
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT NOV 03 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 7N97W 10N113W 10N130W 12N137W 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N107W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF A 14N136W 12.5N132.5W LINE. 

...DISCUSSION...

N OF 15N W OF 105W...
AN ELONGATED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED 
OVER THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA IN THE VICINITY OF 
32N138W AND IS MOVING SLOWLY W. SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION A LARGE 
AREA OF SW WINDS ALOFT IS LOCATED WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 
25N120W TO BEYOND 18N140W. SATELLITE CLOUD DRIFT WINDS ARE 
MEASURING 50 TO 60 KNOTS AND ARE HIGHEST W OF 130W. A MIDDLE/ 
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED ALONG THE 
CALIFORNIA COAST AT 35N. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS S FROM THE 
CIRCULATION CENTER TO 30N125W. 

S OF 15N...
A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING ALOFT IS LOCATED OVER THE DEEP 
TROPICS S OF ABOUT 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 130W. WATER VAPOR 
IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE IN THIS AREA. E OF 105W TO 
THE CENTRAL AND S AMERICA COASTLINES WINDS AT THE UPPER LEVELS 
ARE E TO SE AND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN PART OF A LARGE 
RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN. AT THE SURFACE A MINIMAL GALE IS 
FORECAST TO BEGIN OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN THE NEXT 
FEW HOURS.

$$
CAB