000 AXPZ20 KNHC 151512 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI JUN 15 2007 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1430 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE FROM 5N-15N ALONG 95W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM 5N-11N. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W FROM 5N-14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 9N-12N. TROPICAL WAVE FROM 5N-14N ALONG 120W IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS WITHIN 60 NM W OF THE WAVE FROM 9N-11N. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N85W 10N100W 80N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG 120 NM WIDE FROM 90W TO 110W. SCATTERED STRONG 180 NM WIDE 115W TO 120W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE S COAST OF NICARAGUA EXTENDING TO SE MEXICO E OF 100W. ...DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 32N101W 24N114W THROUGH A SMALL UPPER CYCLONE AT 18N113W WITH THE TROUGH CONTINUING SW THROUGH 10N120W LOSING IDENTITY NEAR THE EQUATOR AT 122W. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CONTINUES TO DRIFT W AND IS CURRENTLY NEAR 27N147W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING E TO NEAR 27N134W. ANOTHER UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 26N123W. AN UPPER TROUGH IS NOTED ALONG 30N129W 24N130W INTO AN UPPER CYCLONE AT 15N137W...EFFECTIVELY SEPARATING THE TWO ANTICYCLONIC SYSTEMS DESCRIBED ABOVE. A LOW LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N137W TO 25N115W. THESE UPPER SYSTEMS COMBINE TO ADVECT DRY UPPER AIR OVER MOST OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 12N W OF 116W. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 12N81W DOMINATING THE UPPER LEVELS E OF 110W. A RIDGE EXTENDING W TO NEAR 11N117W LIES OVER THE ITCZ AND ENHANCED CONVECTION BETWEEN 95W AND 107W. THE RESULTANT DEBRIS MOISTURE IS ADVECTED N TO CENTRAL AMERICA...BUT SEEMS TO EVAPORATE ALONG 17N. DRY UPPER AIR IS NOTED S OF THE ITCZ... ROUGHLY S OF 6N E OF 132W. $$ FORECASTER TORRES