000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141523
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC THU JUN 14 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 6N ALONG 90W MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS 
ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 4N-14N ALONG 104W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE FROM 
7N-14N BETWEEN 100W-107W.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 4N-14N ALONG 116W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE 
IS ENHANCING ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE 
WAVE.

..ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS ALONG 8N81W 11N95W 9N110W 
7N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 200 NM S OF 
AXIS FROM 91W TO 96W AND FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS FROM 
138W TO 140W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING W 10 KT NEAR 14N136W.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS NW OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. 
DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR
21N123W WITH RIDGE N FROM THE CIRCULATION TO 30N124W. WATER 
VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND 
STABLE CONDITIONS N OF 20N W OF 115W AND FROM 10N-20N W OF 130W.
AN ILL-DEFINED MID/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING W 10
KT NEAR 18N109W. A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS N OF THE CYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION EXTENDING FROM SW TEXAS TO CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA.
MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER 
SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR 17N96W WITH A RIDGE N INTO THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE AND SW TO 11N108W.

SURFACE DISSIPATING 1009 MB LOW...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
THREE-E...IS SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS NEAR 20N116W. EARLIER ISOLATED
SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED. SURFACE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 14N134W TO 6N138W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG
THE TROUGH FROM 8N TO 11N.
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE REGION NEAR 35N142W 1028 MB WITH
RIDGE EXTENDING TO 23N113W. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS 
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE N OF 17N W OF 115W.

$$
FORECASTER DGS