000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130234
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE WED JUNE 13 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE E NEAR 19.1N 115.0W 1007 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUN 13 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  

...TROPICAL WAVES..

TROPICAL WAVE 81W MOVING W 10 KT.  

TROPICAL WAVE 96W MOVING W 10 KT.

TROPICAL WAVE 109W MOVING W 10 KT.

..ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N78W 10N100W 6N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 120 NM WIDE FROM 128W TO 
133W.

...DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 32N108W 20N118W . AN UPPER 
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NEAR 29N133W.  DRY UPPER AIR IS OVER MOST OF 
THEN AREA W OF THE TROUGH.  DEBRIS MOISTURE FROM ITCZ CONVECTION 
W OF AREA HAS SPILLED OVER THE SUBTROPICAL AREA UNDER THE 
RIDGE.   

AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE OVER S TEXAS NEAR 27N99W HAS A RIDGE 
EXTENDING SW OVER THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO A CREST NEAR 
13N121W. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER DIFFLUENCE IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE 
LAST CONVECTIVE BURST THAT OCCURRED NEAR THE DEPRESSION LAST 
NIGHT. RIDGING ALSO EXTENDS N OVER THE S CENTRAL UNITED STATES 
AND ADVECTS DEBRIS MOISTURE FROM THE DEPRESSION ALONG A 180 NM 
WIDE PLUME CENTERED ALONG 19N114W 26N107W TO BEYOND 32N101W THEN 
FANNING OUT OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS.
 A LARGE AREA OF UPPER DRY AIR IS ADVECTED S OVER THE GULF OF 
MEXICO AND INTO THE E PAC TO NEAR 13N102W. UPPER DIFFLUENCE E OF 
THE TROUGH IS ENHANCING CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 95W.
    
ELSEWHERE AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRES NEAR 34N140W RIDGES SE TO 
NEAR 26N114W. 

$$
FORECASTER TORRES SUAREZ