000
AXPZ20 KNHC 101516
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN JUN 10 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. 

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 98W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 11N BETWEEN 91W TO 97W. 
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM E THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE FROM 5N-20N ALONG 107W MOVING W 5 KT. A 1005 MB 
LOW PRES IS ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 13N. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
FROM 11N-14N WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS 
SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.   

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N84W 12N105W 8N115W 10N125W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS 
FROM 88W TO 91W AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OFF 
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 30N117W TO 22N120W 23N1322W. 
JET STREAM BRANCH OF 70 KT IS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH FROM 25N114W 
ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA INTO SW NEW MEXICO. A NLY 70-75 KT JET 
IS W OF THE TROUGH FROM OFF THE COAST OF LOS ANGELES TO 26N119W. 
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 14N134W 
WITH RIDGE EXTENDING N TO 23N139W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE 
IS FROM 20N-27N W OF 115W AND FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 115W-130W. 
ANOTHER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MEXICO 
NEAR 22N103W WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NE TO THE BIG BEND OF TEXAS. 
DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE IS ALSO SUPPORTING THE 
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W.

SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 
115W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WITHIN THE RIDGE N 
OF 12N W OF 115W. 

$$
FORECASTER DGS