000
AXPZ20 KNHC 102140
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU MAY 10 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS 7N77W 10N88W 10N111W 4N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 
111W AND 122W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N138W TO 10N129W. E OF TROUGH AXIS 
TROPICAL MOISTURE IS SURGING N INTO MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL DEFORMATION 
ZONE OVER SFC TROUGH ALONG 117W IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD ITCZ TSTMS 
BETWEEN 111W AND 122W. SFC WINDS IN THIS LOCATION ARE VERY WEAK AND 
NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO OCCUR.

AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR 10N95W WITH AN UPPER 
RIDGE EXTENDING W TO 110W. SOME CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM THE ITCZ IS 
BEING ADVECTED POLEWARD INTO CENTRAL AMERICA.  

SFC HIGH REMAINS WELL NW OF AREA WITH A NONDESCRIPT RIDGE EXTENDING 
SE TO 15N110W. TRADE WINDS REMAIN BELOW 15-20 KT ACROSS THE ENTIRE 
REGION...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REBUILD SOMEWHAT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS.

$$
MUNDELL