000
AXPZ20 KNHC 062155
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE MAR 06 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2130 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS ALONG EQ81W 6N86W 4N100W 7N116W 3N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 105W TO 109W.

SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 30N126W TO 20N122W. 80 KT SW 
FLOW E OF THE TROUGH IS BRINGING MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE 
OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND CENTRAL MEXICO. MEANWHILE SHIP 
OBSERVATIONS AND MORNING QUIKSCAT DATA SHOW A WEAK SURFACE 
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 26N124W TO 22N126W ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
UPPER FEATURE. IN ADDITION...THE UPPER NW FLOW BEHIND THE SHORT 
WAVE IS ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE AREA...EXTENDING 
FROM 30N137W TO 28N140W. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS AS THE UPPER SUPPORT LIFTS OUT. 1023 MB SFC HIGH PRES WILL 
BUILD NEAR 29N127W THROUGH WED.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...A SHIP REPORTED 50 KT WINDS IN THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC AT 12Z. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THROUGH EARLY EVENING TO 
GALE FORCE AS HIGH PRES OVER GULF OF MEXICO WEAKENS AND SHIFTS 
E. EXPECT BELOW GALE FORCE WINDS WED.

MORNING QUIKSCAT AND LAND BASED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH 
TO STRONG ELY WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND GULF 
OF FONSECA. HOWEVER...EXPECT THESE WINDS TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH 
THROUGH WED AS ELY WINDS SUBSIDE OVER WRN CARIBBEAN.

$$
CHRISTENSEN