000
AXPZ20 KNHC 210340
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN JAN 21 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS 5N78W 6N130W 6N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW IS LIFTING NE INTO NEW MEXICO AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH 
PLUNGES SSE NEAR 125W. THE SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE PACIFIC WATERS 
EXTENDS NE ACROSS THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. 
TRADE WINDS REMAIN MODERATE TO STRONG W OF 120W. THERE IS MODERATE 
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO BE FOUND IN THE 
DISCUSSION AREA. QUIKSCAT THIS EVENING SHOWS GAP WINDS HAVE ALL 
DROPPED BELOW 20 KT EXCEPT FOR A SMALL AREA IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO 
BETWEEN 10-11N. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS LULL PERIOD WITHOUT 
ACTIVE WEATHER OR STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ANOTHER 72-84 HOURS.



$$
MUNDELL