000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152150
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JAN 15 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2045 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N90W 3N103W 5N125W 5N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 
129W AND 132W.


...DISCUSSION...

UPPER TROUGH FROM 32N123W TO 19N140W. THE TROUGH IS DEEPENING 
AND MOVING ESE. STRONG SW WINDS AND JETSTREAM ARE WITHIN 300 NM 
SE OF THE TROUGH. EXTENSIVE DRY AIR IS W OF 100W. TROPICAL 
MOISTURE IS NOTED ELSEWHERE E OF 100W. A N/S TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 13N88W TO 1N86W DRIFTING E.
WINDS TO GALE FORCE WILL OCCUR OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPECH BY 
EARLY TOMORROW BECOMING STORM STRENGHT BY TUE EVENING.
SATELLITE DATA SHOW 20 TO 30 KT NW TO N WINDS OVER SEA OF CORTEZ 
AND THE AREA S OF CABO SAN LUCAS AND W OF CABO CORRIENTES. 
STRONG GAP WIND FLOW THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO INDICATES 
WINDS UP TO 30 KT. 
 STRONG TO MODERATE TRADES CONTINUE OVER AREA W OF 120W.
$$
FETS