000
AXPZ20 KNHC 051544
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI JAN 5 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS 5N78W 6N95W 7N110W 6N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N110W.

...DISCUSSION....
A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT IS SURGING SE ACROSS THE N PART OF THE 
AREA FROM NRN BAJA CALIFORNIA SW TO 25N122W THENCE TO 24N134W. THE 
FRONT IS FOLLOWED BY A STRONG 1041 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 37N140W 
WITH STRONG TRADES ALONG ITS SRN PERIPHERY. AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS 
INDICATED GALES ARE OCCURRING IN THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA. EXPECT SUBSEQUENT PASSES TO SHOW THE AREA OF GALES SHIFTING 
SLOWLY S DURING THE NEXT 24 HRS. WINDS WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW GALE 
FORCE BY 12Z SAT...ALTHOUGH THE GRADIENT WILL MAINTAIN STRONG WINDS 
TO 30 KT FOR ANOTHER TWO DAYS. GALES ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA WITHIN 12-24 HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT SLIDES SE AND HIGH 
PRES BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. NW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE 
AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND SHOULD REMAIN AT GALE FORCE FOR 
ABOUT 24 HRS.

GAP WINDS IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO HAVE DIMINISHED BUT SHOULD REMAIN 
CLOSE TO 20 KT FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. ANOTHER SURGE IN THE WINDS 
IS EXPECTED SUN AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN.

$$
MUNDELL