000
AXPZ20 KNHC 271550
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED DEC 27 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS 7N78W 6N100W 7N120W 7N140W. SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION NEAR 7N127W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ALONG 120W N OF 27N. 
UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 135W. AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT IS 
SURGING DOWN THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM 
34N119W TO 30N121W TO 28N131W. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS BEHIND THE 
FRONT WILL SWEEP INTO THE N PORTION OF AREA ALONG WITH LARGE SWELLS.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE AREA W OF 
120W BETWEEN 5N AND 22N. MORNING QUIKSCAT PASS COVERAGE MISSED THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BUT IS INDICATING NEAR GALE CONDITIONS W OF THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC BUT WINDS WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY LATER TODAY AS A 
RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E...AND RETURN FLOW 
BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SURGE OVER THE 
CARIBBEAN WILL BRING FRESH ELY FLOW INTO THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... 
EXTENDING ALONG GENERALLY ALONG 10N TO 100W. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN IN 
THE 20-30 KT RANGE IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

$$
MUNDELL