000
AXPZ20 KNHC 101544
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SUN DEC 10 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...7N77W 7N90W 5N110W 4N125W 6N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 
A 45 NM RADIUS OF 7N84W...WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 6N103W 
4N110W LINE...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N139W.

...DISCUSSION...

W OF 110W...
A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING E ABOUT 20 KNOTS OVER THE 
NORTHERN HALF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE TROUGH AXIS IS LOCATED 
ALONG 115W WITH CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING THE AREA N OF 25N E OF 
122W INTO NW MEXICO. STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS MOST OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA N OF 20N. A SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDS THROUGH 
15N140W TO 20N125W THROUGH 26N115W. FLOW IS STRONGEST BETWEEN 
115W AND 130W WITH WSW WINDS IN THE 60 TO 70 KNOT RANGE AS 
INDICATED BY SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. FURTHER S OVER THE DEEP 
TROPICS ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS LOCATED S OF ABOUT 18N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH SEA CONDITIONS 
COVER ALL OF THE AREA W OF 110W. THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE LOCATED N 
OF 10N W OF 125W AND ARE AS HIGH AS 18 FEET.

E OF 110W...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM GOES-12 INDICATES SUBSIDENCE OVER THE 
WHOLE AREA E OF 110W AND IS STRONGEST N OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 
110W AND INCLUDES MEXICO. LIGHT EASTERLIES ALOFT ARE LOCATED S 
OF ABOUT 10N E OF 95W. AT THE SURFACE...A MINIMAL GALE IS 
LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DROP 
BELOW 35 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
CAB