000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300342
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU NOV 30 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 64N77W 5N110W 7N120W 5N140W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 90 NM WIDE 130W TO 140W.
 
...DISCUSSION...
UPPER...
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 28N131W HAS TROUGH TO 20N130W AND 
13N138W.A MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS N/S ALONG 118W. A TROUGH 
EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MEXICO TO A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 
7N104W.
A LARGE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TO 15N100W. 
ANOTHER RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM 14N110W TO 8N123W.

A LARGE AREA OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS SEEN E OF 112W INTO MEXICO 
AND THE WESTERN USA. MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL W OF 112W.

AT THE SURFACE...
A MODERATE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N130W TO 20N122W.

GAP WINDS...
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC IN 36 HRS AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 
SWD OVER S TEXAS INTO NE MEXICO BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT THAT 
MOVES INTO THE W GULF OF MEXICO THU. NE WINDS IN THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO MAY INCREASE TO 20 KT NEAR THE NEXT 48 HRS AS HIGH 
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN.
THE OFFICIAL TPC WARNING IS INDICATED FOR THE AREA AS INDICATED 
...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 75 NM FROM COAST
N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$
TORRES SUAREZ